Insight

Florida just proved quality beats volume. Here’s exactly who won.

The 8 largest non-SNP payers, the D-SNP/C-SNP plans moving fastest, and the AEP cost & benefit trade-offs behind them — plus what it means for your bid, your Stars, and your network.
Molina Healthcare Q2 2026

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Florida Medicare Advantage Market Report 2026 | HealthWorksAI

This Florida Medicare Advantage 2026 market intelligence report covers payer rankings, Stars enrollment, AEP benefit trends, and D‑SNP/C‑SNP growth across the state.

172K
Members migrated to 4.5‑Star plans this AEP
80%+
Of enrollment held by the top 4 carriers
605
MA plans analyzed for cost, benefit & Stars moves
36.8%
Devoted Health’s AEP growth, fastest of the top 8
Strategic Recommendations

Three moves that actually matter right now

Defend and grow Stars before 2027

Close HEDIS gaps (diabetes control, blood pressure, post‑discharge reconciliation) and fix the CAHPS basics: appointment access, scheduling ease. Every 4+ Star plan carries real rebate value.

Move on displaced members first

Sentara, Elevance, and CVS all trimmed service areas this cycle. Target the affected counties directly. This window closes fast.

Build a real D‑SNP/C‑SNP strategy

Chronic‑condition plans grew across the board this AEP. A credible high‑acuity strategy is the difference between share gain and long‑term erosion.

Competitive Landscape · Non‑SNP

Who’s actually winning Florida

The 8 largest non‑SNP parent organizations, ranked by post‑AEP membership. Humana and UnitedHealthcare lead by scale; Devoted and Health First are gaining fastest.

Sr. noPayerHWAI ScoreAEP MoveTPVPosition
1
Humana Inc.
70 plans
HWAI Score
50
AEP Move
+10.0%
TPV
$450
Market leaders
2
UnitedHealth Group
42 plans
HWAI Score
47
AEP Move
+1.0%
TPV
$394
Market leaders
3
GuideWell (Florida Blue)
36 plans
HWAI Score
30
AEP Move
-18.2%
TPV
$359
Margin-focused defenders
4
CVS Health (Aetna)
34 plans
HWAI Score
37
AEP Move
-5.7%
TPV
$462
Margin-focused defenders
5
Elevance Health
42 plans
HWAI Score
48
AEP Move
+1.4%
TPV
$574
Margin-focused defenders
6
Centene Corp.
16 plans
HWAI Score
40
AEP Move
-6.7%
TPV
$497
Growth challengers
7
Health First
11 plans
HWAI Score
41
AEP Move
+9.4%
TPV
$473
Niche specialist
8
Devoted Health
45 plans
HWAI Score
45
AEP Move
+36.8%
TPV
$630
Growth challengers

HWAI Score blends product, network, marketing, and brand strength into one number (0–100). AEP movement is Dec ’25 to Feb ’26, non‑SNP individual & group MA only. TPV (True Plan Value) estimates what a plan is actually worth to the member enrolling in it, netting cost‑sharing and supplemental‑benefit savings against the premium.

Why this matters

A competitor’s move is old news by the time most teams see it

  • Competitive reads live, not stale
  • Updated within 12 hours of CMS
  • Tracks plan design and enrollment shifts
  • See moves the week they happen
See how MarketIntel does it
Quality & Member Experience

Stars is buying share

Low‑rated and unrated plans keep shrinking while the highest tier keeps absorbing their members.

4+/4.5‑Star enrollment, Florida MA, June of each year
100K
2024 · baseline
165K
2025 · +65%
284K
2026 · nearly 3x ’24

CMS cut CAHPS’ weighting from 4x to 2x for 2026, but it still swings retention.

2026 AEP Disruption Report

The cost story and the benefit story are moving in opposite directions

Final read on the completed Dec ’25 → Feb ’26 AEP cycle

Across 605 plans, deductibles and MOOP climbed while premiums gradually declined. Dental/OTC benefits got trimmed even as copay structures got friendlier: this is the pattern worth watching before 2027 filings open.

Cost provisions

ProvisionIncreasedDecreased
Drug deductible
302
28
MOOP (in-network)
133
56
Part B giveback
123
57
Premium
33
69
Part D premium
33
68
Part C premium
5
11

Benefit provisions

ProvisionIncreasedDecreased
Dental coverage
39
222
OTC coverage
39
114
Specialist copay
116
23
Brand copay
39
55
Generic copay
0
35
PCP copay
0
7

Why this matters

The pattern is only obvious after someone reads all 605 PBP files

  • All 605 plan files, parsed automatically
  • Decision‑ready within 48 hours
  • Catches deductible and dental shifts
  • Ready before next year’s bid
Track it before the next release
Specialty Plans

D‑SNP vs. C‑SNP: opposite momentum

Dual‑eligible plans are contracting among incumbents while chronic‑condition plans are growing for everyone tracked, including three brand‑new entrants.

D‑SNP: dual‑eligible

Enrollment is shrinking among the biggest incumbents while smaller regional plans pick up share.

Humana Inc.
Market leader
+11.7%
Doctors Healthcare Plans
Fastest growth
+26.0%
CVS Health Corp.
Steepest decline
-18.9%
UnitedHealth Group
Largest absolute loss
-3.7%

C‑SNP: chronic condition

Every tracked C‑SNP payer grew this AEP, including three plans starting from zero.

Humana Inc.
Market leader
+26.0%
Ultimate Healthcare
Fastest growth
+262%
Devoted Health
New entrant
0 to 10.5K
Gold Kidney Health Plan
Weakest score
+76.0%

Why this matters

Your fastest‑growing members are the ones you know least about

  • Benchmarks your network, one to many
  • Compares by product type directly
  • Shows where SNP challengers gain strength
  • Sizes network adequacy with real data
See how NetworkIntel benchmarks it
Geographic Intelligence

Where the map actually moves

Miami‑Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach still decide statewide scale, but the real openings are where carriers just left.

  • Sentara exited MA, MAPD HMO, and C‑SNP in Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina for 2026, a market withdrawal, not a Stars loss. Its members are now in play statewide.
  • Elevance and CVS also trimmed service areas this cycle, each termination concentrated in specific counties worth targeting directly.
  • South Florida stays the battleground for head‑to‑head share, but lower‑penetration counties carry the least competitive density for new entry.
  • Provider‑affiliated regional plans (BayCare, Health First) keep growing precisely where tighter provider alignment exists: a signal for where partnership beats scale.

Why this matters

The exit filing is public. Knowing who it frees up isn’t.

  • Flags county exits as they happen
  • First movers capture displaced members
  • Tracks service‑area changes county by county
  • Timing favors you, not brokers
Find your county‑level opening
Frequently Asked Questions

Florida Medicare Advantage 2026, the questions people are asking

Which Medicare Advantage payer had the fastest AEP growth in Florida for 2026?

Devoted Health posted the fastest 2026 AEP growth among Florida’s top 8 non‑SNP payers, up 36.8%, according to HealthWorksAI’s Market Snapshot data.

How much did 4.5‑Star plan enrollment grow in Florida for 2026?

4.5‑Star Medicare Advantage enrollment in Florida grew from 100K members in 2024 to 165K in 2025 and 284K in 2026, nearly tripling in two years.

Which Medicare Advantage payers exited or trimmed their Florida service areas for 2026?

Sentara exited Medicare Advantage, MAPD HMO, and C‑SNP entirely in Florida for 2026, while Elevance and CVS both trimmed service areas in specific counties.

How many Florida Medicare Advantage plans changed drug deductibles or dental coverage for 2026?

Across 605 Florida MA plans analyzed, 302 raised drug deductibles and 222 cut dental coverage for 2026, while copay structures broadly got friendlier.

Is D‑SNP or C‑SNP enrollment growing faster in Florida?

C‑SNP (chronic‑condition) plans grew across every tracked payer in the 2026 AEP, including three brand‑new entrants, while D‑SNP (dual‑eligible) enrollment contracted among the largest incumbents.

Florida Medicare Advantage 2026 sources & methodology

This Florida Medicare Advantage 2026 report is built from CMS Medicare Advantage enrollment files, Plan Benefit Package (PBP) data, and Star Ratings releases, cross‑checked against HealthWorksAI’s Market Snapshot. For the underlying federal data set, see the CMS Medicare Advantage plan directory.

Want a deeper dive, county by county?

We’ll run this same read for the specific counties and carriers you’re actually competing against, ahead of 2027 filings.

The HealthWorksAI Platform

Where market, product, and network insights intersect

One data layer behind every market, product, and network read in this report.

Florida Medicare Advantage 2026 platform diagram showing market, product, and network intelligence overlapping
25+
MA payers served on the HealthWorksAI platform
5,000+
MA plans tracked nationwide
3,300+
Counties covered
15+
Interactive dashboards, one login

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